Monday, 10 July 2017

Aussie win a watershed moment

England's heart-stopping win over Australia yesterday has taken them to the top of the WWC17 Standings with each team with just two fixtures left to play this week. It puts them in a great position to qualify for the semi-finals.

People often talk in sport about something being "a watershed moment" - a turning point or a fundamental change in direction or attitude. England's win was just such a moment. It was all the better because it was never really expected, and England won despite not really playing their best cricket.

When new coach Mark Robinson decided it was time to move on from the Lottie Era it was a tremendous statement of trust in the girls who remained in the squad that they could do the job for England, without their former captain and leading run scorer.

Frequently in interviews Robinson would state that the girls really never knew how good they were. What they lacked was confidence in their own abilities. On Sunday they began to show that Robinson's confidence in them was not misplaced and that their confidence in themselves, and as a team, is on the way up.

It was not a faultless performance by any means. Anya Shrubsole and Nat Sciver dropped catches they would normally take in their sleep, and the batsmen will be annoyed that they made good starts, got the pace of the wicket, but did not go on. But whereas such lapses would have led to a collective dropping of heads, this time there was a determination to do better next time. Each batsman who came to the crease knew they could do a job - this time it was left to Katherine Brunt and Jenny Gunn to be the ones to take the England innings from ordinary to enough to give the Aussies something to think about.

In the field Heather Knight's ground fielding was exceptional as she led her team from the front and Nat Sciver held her nerve as she caught Ellyse Perry on the boundary edge at cow corner in the dying embers of the game.

Mark Robinson won't be getting too excited just yet, and there will no doubt be some dark days amongst the good ones, but inside he will be relishing the next few days with the hope of some more signs that this England team have got what it takes.

Here is who plays who in the next five days, with the top four qualifying for the semi-finals :-

England - New Zealand & West Indies
Australia - India & South Africa
India - Australia & New Zealand
New Zealand - England & India
South Africa - Sri Lanka & Australia

And here is how they stand to date...


  1. Here’s the deal for Wednesday (assuming the qualification rules as explained in the Programme given out at the matches are accurate):-

    AUS win – they qualify
    ENG win – they qualify
    IND win – they qualify
    AUS, ENG and SA win – SA qualify (also AUS and ENG of course)
    IND, NZ, SL win – NZ qualify (also IND of course)

    This means :-

    > qualification cannot be completely resolved on Wednesday and at least one match on Saturday will affect qualification

    > each top 5 team (but at most 3) could qualify on Wednesday

    > regardless of the results on Wednesday, no team (of the top 5) will be definitely out (although NZ and SA could lose control of their own destiny; NZ lose it if IND and ENG and SA win, SA lose it if AUS, NZ and SL win)

    > and, further to the above, all 5 teams could lose both their remaining matches and still qualify

    Wednesday’s results that would leave things the most open are either:-

    (i) AUS win and NZ win and SA win, leaving only 1 team qualified (AUS), leaving NZ & SA on 9 pts, leaving ENG & IND on 8 pts, and 3 matches on Saturday having an influence on qualification (AUS v SA, IND v NZ and ENG v WI).

    (ii) IND win and NZ win and SA win, leaving only 1 team qualified (IND), leaving NZ & SA on 9 pts, leaving ENG & AUS on 8 pts, and 3 matches on Saturday having an influence on qualification (AUS v SA, IND v NZ and ENG v WI).

    Ironically, Wednesday’s results that would leave things the most closed (ie 3 teams, AUS, ENG and SA, qualified) would throw up a ‘winner takes all’ (winner qualifies, loser definitely doesn’t) IND v NZ match for the final qualification spot. This is the only results sequence that throws up a ‘winner takes all’ match – better known as a quarter-final !

    Whatever way one cuts this cake, the sequence of results over the last two rounds, particularly ENG beating SA & AUS and SA beating IND, has set this up wonderfully well. In a situation like this where 5 out of the 8 teams have created a ‘top 5’, a format in which the 8 teams are split into 2 tables of 4 would have been a disaster for the competition (2 of the 5 teams having a stroll into the semis). Thank goodness they went for the ‘everyone plays everyone else’ format.

    The glorious 12th has come a month early !

  2. If one prefers the above in a more ready-reckoner form …………………

    Let [q] = Qualified
    Let [c] = Not qualified but have control of their own destiny
    Let [nc] = Not qualified and needs other results to go their way to qualify

    Round 6 Results:

    1. AUS, ENG, SL win : [q] AUS, ENG [c] IND, NZ and SA

    2. AUS, NZ, SL win : [q] AUS [c] ENG, IND and NZ [nc] SA

    3. ENG, IND, SL win : [q] ENG and IND [c] AUS, NZ and SA

    4. IND, NZ and SL win : [q] IND and NZ [c] AUS, ENG and SA

    5. AUS, ENG, SA win : [q] AUS, ENG and SA [c] IND, NZ

    6. AUS, NZ, SA win : [q] AUS [c] ENG, IND, NZ and SA

    7. ENG, IND, SA win : [q] ENG and IND [c] AUS and SA [nc] NZ

    8. IND, NZ and SA win : [q] IND [c] AUS, ENG, NZ and SA